Other analyses of super bowl squares have only used playoff games or actual super bowl data to determine the best squares. To determine the frequency of each square, I scraped (using the excellent BeautifulSoup package in Python) game scores at the end of each quarter for every regular season and playoff game since 2015. But, how much better are these squares than others? And, within the set of 9 permutations of 0, 3, and 7, which squares are better than others?įrequency of Numbers in Super Bowl Squares And, in this case, the general consensus is right.
General consensus amongst football fans is that squares with combinations of 0’s, 3’s, and 7’s are the best for a super bowl squares pool. Usually, the board looks something like this: Awards are paid out at the end of the first, second, and third quarters as well as at the end of the game. For example, if the home team is winning 12-10 at the end of the first quarter, whoever has the number pairing “2/0” wins a portion of the buy-in pot. These numbers represent the one’s digit of the scores for the home team and the away team. ‘Super Bowl Squares’ is a game where people enter into a pool and are assigned a pair of two single-digit numbers like “7/6”, or “3/3”, or “1/2” etc. To see the specific probabilities, feel free to skip ahead to the super bowl squares probabilities for the 1 st quarter, 2 nd quarter, 3 rd quarter, or end of game below. Then, making just a few assumptions, we are able to compute the probabilities of each square hitting in the upcoming super bowl.
#1ST QUARTER SUPERBOWL SCORE PRO#
To do this, I scraped the quarter-by-quarter score of a few thousand games of the 1500 most recent football games from pro football reference in order to use in this analysis.
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